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Gold Price on dialy baasis and why the gold move up or down

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    Gold Price on dialy baasis and why the gold move up or down

    Kitco News) - European central banks sold a gross 1.1 metric tons under the third Central Bank Gold Agreement, the lowest annual sales since the agreement began in September 1999, the World Gold Council said Tuesday.
    The current agreement allows European central bank signatories to sell 400 tons of gold collectively per year. This is the third CBGA agreement, which is in its second year. Monday marked the end of the second year.
    “European central banks’ appetite for gold sales has dissipated since the onset of the financial crisis. During periods of such intense economic and financial market turbulence gold adds much needed stability to a central bank’s reserves,” said Natalie Dempster, director of government affairs for the World Gold Council.
    Last year there was a similar disinterest to sell, with European signatories selling just 7.1 tons of the 400 tons allowed.
    Central banks in many countries, particularly in emerging markets, have been gold adding to their reserves over the past two years, Dempster said.
    “As a whole, central banks are now large net buyers of gold having re-evaluated their reserve asset management policies and we expect them to remain so for the foreseeable future,” she said.
    The CBGA started in 1999 and in the first five years, central banks were sellers of the full amount, set at 400 tons at the time. Between 2005-2009, a second CBGA was enacted and the ceiling limit was lifted to 500 tons, but signatories had undersold the limit. The limit was lowered back to 400 tons in the current agreement, which runs through September 2014.
    For more information see the WGC website:

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    Comex Gold Backs Off to Trade Solidly Lower amid Strong Dollar, Lower Crude Oil Prices

    Kitco News) - Comex gold futures prices are modestly lower late Wednesday morning in quieter trading compared to the huge daily ranges posted earlier this week.
    The gold market is consolidating the recent volatile price action and pausing. A firming U.S. dollar index and weakening crude oil futures prices Wednesday are bearish "outside market" forces working against the precious metals. December gold last traded down $14.00 an ounce at $1,638.40.
    By Jim Wyckoff contributing to Kitco News; [email protected]
    Editor’s Note:
    Kitco News will provide readers with comprehensive print and video coverage of three-major precious metals market events in New York, Toronto and Montreal during the next two weeks.
    First, Kitco News will supply live coverage on Wednesday, Sept. 14, of the CPM Platinum Group Metals Seminar in New York. That will be followed by the Toronto Resource Investment Conference September 15-16, and then the London Bullion Marketing Association meeting in Montreal September 18-20.
    The CPM Group's Platinum Metals Group Seminar Sept. 14 will showcase presentations from some of the leading analysts and investors in the PGM sector. Register to watch the CPM Platinum Group Metals Seminar Live (Free Registration): http://cpmevents.kitco.com/

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    AngloGold to invest $1.75 bln in Brazil by 2016

    BELO HORIZONTE (MarketWatch) -- South African gold producer AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. (AU, ANG.JO) will invest $1.75 billion in Brazil to raise gold output to 700,000 ounces per year by 2016, the company's global chief executive officer, Mark Cutifani, said Wednesday.
    The company expects to produce 420,000 ounces of gold in Brazil this year, up from 400,000 ounces in 2010, and sees that number rising to 500,000 ounces in 2012, Cutifani told reporters at a mining event in Brazil.
    The company is currently starting operations at a new $220 million gold mining project at Corrego do Sitio in Minas Gerais state, Cutifani said.
    The company will "remain nervous until we see the outcome" of Brazil's planned new mining code, Cutifani said. This is because of AngloGold's experiences in Australia, where the recent introduction of high "new mining taxes will increase the cost of commodities to the market" he said.
    Proposals for Brazil's new mining legislation, expected to raise royalties, are due to be sent to Congress for consideration in the near future.

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    خبير سويسرى يتوقع المزيد من الانخفاض للذهب

    قال خبير الاستثمار السويسري المعروف “مارك فابر” في حديث مع قناة “سي إن بي سي” الأمريكية اليوم إن أسعار الذهب التي تراجعت خلال الأسابيع القليلة الماضية من المنتظر أن تواصل تراجعها.
    وقال أننا تجاوزنا الهدف عندما تخطى الذهب 1900 دولار.. نحن على وشك الاقتراب من قاع 1500 دولار، والتي إن لم يتم التماسك عندها سيكون الهبوط إلى مستوى بين 1100 إلى 1200 دولار” على حد قول “فابر” الذي تحتوي محفظته الاستثمارية على 25% كأصول مدعومة بالذهب.
    وفى هذا في الوقت الذي تراجعت فيه عقود الذهب الآجلة المتداولة في بورصة نيويورك إلى أقل مستوياتها في عشرة أسابيع عند 1535 دولارا خلال تعاملات اليوم قبل أن تقلل تلك الخسائرة بالصعود إلى مستوى 1629.8 دولار
    يشار إلى أن عقود الذهب بلغت أعلى مستوياتها على الإطلاق يوم السادس من سبتمبر/أيلول الحالي بتجاوزها 1920 دولارا في ذلك قبل أن تبدأ رحلة هبوطها الحالية

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    Gold price could hit $2,000 in 2012’

    KUWAIT CITY, Aug 20: After Gold achieved our target of $1,700 we are revising our estimates, and have come up with an analysis of where prices are headed over the next 3 to 6 months, by mid 2012.
    The price of gold could hit $2,000 a troy ounce over the next year, Aberdeen Asset Management has predicted, as investors look for a safe haven for their money. The precious metal soared to a record high of $1,814.90 an ounce earlier this month as investors fretted about the prospects of a debt crisis in the euro zone and US. It has fallen back since then, but the bleak picture the world is in gives it tremendous support and may even prove as a catalyst for further moves on the upside.

    The market frigidness over the bleak picture in the global economy and the lack of traders willing to take any risk could propel the price of the metal to newer highs over the next year. The shift in the dynamics of the world over the past years have brought gold to this level, but the negative interest rate environment (inflation rate subtracted from the nominal interest rate) the world finds itself in these days is leading to declining purchasing power in the respective currency’s and the rising risk of defaults form leading industrial nations is the catalyst that the metal needs to push it to new highs. If we compare to the past, inflation-adjusted price of gold, it is still off by $500 (gold all-time high set in 1980 of more than $2,300an oz. ounce inflation adjusted).
    For Chinese investors there is nothing out there except for gold, with their real savings rate at a negative rate (the inflation rate subtracted from the nominal interest rate). And the warnings they get from their local council men in their local governments that land and real estate prices were set to fall. They have hoarded gold.

    UBS Raises Gold Forecast on Growth, Debt Concerns. The Markets weary over slowing demand and more so the burdensome debt issues in the industrial nations continue to push prices of the metals higher, as investors seek safe haven investments. To compound matters the central banks continued buying has pushed gold prices higher. UBS raised its three month forecast to $1850 from $1600 due to the aforementioned reasons. Another report indicated that US consumer spending dipped in the past month raising worries over a slowing US economy and the implications to the world economy. Moody’s Investors Services said the outlook for the US debt grade is placed on negative watch after President Obama signed into law the debt limit increase while cutting spending without any revenue increases.

    “A barely expanding US economy and its implications for the world are now at the forefront of investors’ minds, helping gold push to records,” said Edel Tully, a London based analyst at UBS AG, in a report. “Neither European nor US debt issues have been comprehensively dealt with. Data since last Friday have increased expectations for further quantitative easing (QE3) by the Federal Reserve “she said.
    In the Euro Zone, both Italian and Spanish bond yields rose to record-levels in the Euro history and these levels reached are considered as unsustainable. “If you look at the European Bond Markets, you will see yields on Italian and Spanish bonds are back above 6%, so this crisis, unfortunately seems to be spreading to Italy and Spain, which is potentially more serious than Greece, because they’re much larger,” said Jesper Dannesboe, senior commodities strategist at Societe Generale. “Gold is reacting to this and that is the main driver right now.”

    The International Monetary Fund said in its monthly report on central banks and their reserves that the Thai, Russian, and Kazakh Banks among others have added gold to their reserves in the past couple months as they diversify their balance sheets. “Central banks around the world need to buy hundreds of tons a year,” said Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank AG.


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    Updates prices)
    * Lower prices attract buyers, euro zone crisis underpins
    * Prices still vulnerable to wider market volatility
    * Platinum retains hefty discount to gold
    By Jan Harvey
    LONDON, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Gold rose on Thursday, lifted by strong physical demand and gains in the euro, but was back from earlier highs as the German parliament's approval of new powers for the euro zone rescue fund damped interest in the metal as a haven from risk.
    Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,611.49 an ounce at 1152 GMT. Earlier it rose as high as $1,633.59 on talk that German Chancellor Angela Merkel could face dissent in her own party in the rescue fund vote, but eased as this dissipated.
    Concerns over the ability of euro zone authorities to tackle the bloc's worsening debt crisis were a key issue pushing gold to a record $1,920 an ounce this month.
    Traditionally the metal has been seen as a safe store of value at a time of volatility in other assets. Although recent hefty losses have undermined this reputation, it remains more stable than many other assets, particularly among currencies.
    "Gold is the one currency without debt liabilities, so if you are worried about the debt situation in the U.S. and euro zone, an obvious currency to look towards is gold," said Danske Bank analyst Christin Tuxen. "There are still reasons for it to be regarded as a safe haven."
    Gold remains supported by strong interest in physical metal after a series of sell-offs this week took prices to multi-week lows. Investors have been forced to liquidate their highly-valued gold holdings to cover losses on other markets.
    Investors remain wary that fresh financial market ructions linked to the euro zone debt crisis could spark more losses in the precious metal, which this week has fallen as much as 20 percent from September's record highs.
    Stocks markets climbed in early afternoon trade and the euro rose as the German parliament approved the euro zone rescue fund's new powers.
    "A stronger euro on a 'good vote' will probably help gold given the way the metal has been reacting to EUR/USD of late," said UBS in a note.
    The dollar index pared losses, however, helping to pressure gold. The dollar-priced metal becomes more expensive for other currency holders when the U.S. unit strengthens.
    U.S. gold futures GCv1 for December delivery were down $5.20 an ounce at $1,612.90.

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    Sep 29 2011, Current New York Time: 1744

    http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html

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    Sep 30 2011, Current New York Time: 6:21:49

    http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html

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    SINGAPORE, Sept 30 (Reuters) - Gold ticked up on Friday,having gained in the previous session on German approval of astronger bailout fund to counter the euro zone debt crisis, butthe metal was heading for its worst monthly decline in threeyears. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold added $7.79 an ounce to $1,621.84 anounce by 0043 GMT. Despite the gain, prices were headed for of11 percent, their worst since October 2008 when they tumbled 17percent following the collapse of Lehman Brothers. * Gold rallied to a lifetime high around $1,920 an ounce inearly September. * U.S. gold GCcv1 rose $7.2 an ounce to $1,624.50 anounce. * German Chancellor Angela Merkel won a vote on enhancingthe euro zone's bailout fund without needing to rely on theopposition, a senior member of Merkel's CDU party said onThursday. * For the top stories on metals and other news, click , or MARKET NEWS * The euro clung to modest gains in Asia on Friday,following a brief boost after Germany approved an expansion ofthe euro zone bailout fund, but investors remain worried due tothe many hurdles ahead of a workable resolution to the Europeancrisis. * The Nikkei share average was flat on Friday, wavering inand out of positive territory in the first minutes of trading asinvestors took profits after a late surge in the previoussession, and was on track to gain for the week. * U.S. crude futures extended gains on Friday, as the Germanvote to beef up the euro zone rescue fund and upbeat U.S.economic data eased market worries over a slowing globaleconomy. DATA/EVENTS 0230 China HSBC PMI Sep 2011 0500 Japan Construction orders yy Aug 2011 0600 Germany Retail sales yy real Aug 2011 0900 EZ Inflation, flash yy Sep 2011 1230 U.S. Personal Income Aug 2011 1345 U.S. Chicago PMI Sep 2011 1355 U.S. Reuters/U.Mich Sentiment Sept 1930 U.S. CFTC Commitments of traders Precious metals prices at 0043 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Volume Spot Gold 1621.84 7.79 +0.48 14.26 Spot Silver 30.84 0.26 +0.85 -0.06 Spot Platinum 1529.49 12.24 +0.81 -13.47 Spot Palladium 620.49 4.49 +0.73 -22.39 TOCOM Gold 4005.00 2.00 +0.05 7.40 31699 TOCOM Platinum 3805.00 -11.00 -0.29 -18.97 5421 TOCOM Silver 75.50 0.00 +0.00 -6.79 376 TOCOM Palladium 1556.00 9.00 +0.58 -25.80 109 COMEX GOLD DEC1 1624.20 6.90 +0.43 14.27 2815 COMEX SILVER DEC1 30.91 0.39 +1.27 -0.10 712 Euro/Dollar 1.3586 Dollar/Yen 76.63 TOCOM prices in yen per gram. Spot prices in $ per ounce. COMEX gold and silver contracts show the most active months (Reporting by Lewa Pardomuan; Editing by Michael Urquhart)

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    http://af.reuters.com/article/topNew...110929?sp=true

    China, S. Africa ink $2.5 billion in deals in Dalai Lama's shadow

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